If history repeats itself, gold prices headed to $4,000 in three years – Frank Holmes
Gold prices have seen a positive correlation to the expansion of the Federal Reserve’s assets, and as the Fed embarks on the largest stimulus program in its history, the yellow metal is set rally in the same fashion as in the aftermath of the last recession, said Frank Holmes, CEO of U.S. Global Investors.
“In the next three years, if we look back, if [history] repeats itself, from 2008, 2009 to 2011, that three year run saw gold go from a $750 — $800 range up to $1,900. If we forecast that because we have the same expansion of the balance sheet of the Fed then it would project, if cycles are exactly the same, gold could go to $4,000,” Holmes said.
Holmes noted that although trillions of dollars have already been injected into the monetary system this year through the Fed’s quantitative easing program, more stimulus is still on its way.
“This is going to cost the U.S. government approximately $10 trillion in fiscal and monetary policy to get the economy back, so I think that number you’re seeing after 2008, 2009 after Lehman Bros. went bankrupt, you saw the balance sheet expand from $1 trillion to $3 trillion. I think it’s got to hit the overall $10 trillion,” he said.
What’s different this time is the policies toward trade from global leaders.
Source: Kitco News